Bloomberg (May 17)
China’s “influence over global bond markets is beginning to eclipse that of the Federal Reserve. While traders still keep a close watch on decisions made by Fed Chair Janet Yellen in Washington, economic shifts in China are starting to matter even more for the global economy.”
Tags: Bond markets, China, China Economy, Fed, Influence, Traders, U.S., Yellen
Financial Times (February 25)
When then Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled a potential policy change in 2013, he “triggered a ‘taper tantrum’ in financial markets across the world” and “put a chill on the US housing market.” Current Fed Chairman Janet Yellen “is determined not to do the same and catch the markets unaware.” Judging from the calm market reaction to her recent guidance, she is earning “high marks” for successfully managing expectations.
Tags: Bernanke, Calm, Expectations, Fed, Housing, Markets, Reaction, Taper tantrum, U.S., Yellen
Financial Times (February 9)
“Markets predict that the Fed will raise rates only to 1.6 per cent by the end of 2017; the Federal Open Market Committee’s average forecast is 3.5 per cent. Such a divergence raises the risk of volatility and poses a communications challenge for the Fed.”
Tags: Fed, Forecast, Markets, Risk, Volatility
Washington Post (November 10)
“The Federal Reserve has ended its roughly $3.7 trillion program of bond buying, leaving in its wake a host of hard questions. Did it strengthen the economic recovery? If so, by how much? What are the long-run effects? Should it be used again? We don’t have good answers.” Without more rigorous research, we won’t know whether or in what circumstances quantitative easing should be deployed in the future.
Tags: Bond-buying, Effects, Fed, Future, Quantitative easing, Recovery, Research
Bloomberg (September 9)
The Federal Reserve is taking a tougher regulatory stance and will require large, systemically important banks to increase their capital. “Given the incentives big banks face, only regulators can ensure they operate with enough capital for their own good — and for the good of society. The Fed still has a long way to go, but at least it’s headed in the right direction.”
Tags: Banks, Capital, Fed, Incentives, Regulators, Society
Forbes (March 13)
“Like Iceland in its heyday, Singapore’s economic stability and vitality – on the surface at least – has made it the envy of the world at a time when most Western economies are languishing with feeble growth, and high rates of unemployment and poverty.” And, just like Iceland, the Switzerland of Asia will suffer when its economic bubble is punctured. In the meantime, “Singapore’s bubble economy may continue inflating for several more years if the U.S. Fed Funds Rate and SIBOR continue to be held at such low levels.”
Tags: Asia, Bubble, Economic stability, Fed, Growth, Iceland, Poverty, SIBOR, Singapore, Switzerland, U.S., Unemployment, Western economies
The Economist (March 8)
“Western firms have piled into emerging markets in the past 20 years. Now comes the reckoning.” The Fed’s quantitative easing, an over-exuberant investment cycle, rising local currency prices for commodities, and other factors are undermining the emerging market paradigm. “Plenty of firms and some whole industries need a rethink. The emerging-market rush may end up like a giant version of the first internet boom 15 years ago. The broad thrust was right but some big mistakes were made.”
Tags: Commodities, Currency prices, Emerging markets, Fed, Firms, Industries, Internet boom, Investment, Over-exuberant, Quantitative easing, Rethink
The Atlantic (February 4, 2014)
“Lehman conditioned us to always look for the next domino. But sometimes a falling currency is just a falling currency.” Since last May when then Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke mentioned tapering, “emerging market currencies have been in a world of pain.” But fundamentals are much stronger than before the Asian Currency Crisis so this needn’t be a repeat of 1997. “The danger isn’t slumping currencies. The danger is overreacting to slumping currencies.”
Tags: 1997, Asian Currency Crisis, Ben Bernanke, Currency, Emerging markets, Fed, Fundamentals, Lehman, Overreacting, Tapering
Washington Post (January 4, 2014)
On January 31, Ben Bernanke’s term as chairman of the Federal Reserve will come to an end as Janet Yellen’s begins. “Americans have been uneasy about central banks since the days of Thomas Jefferson and Jackson. But looking at Bernanke’s record, even the skeptics should grant that the country was lucky to have him when the crisis hit.” Bernanke “may go down as the most radical innovator in the Fed’s history — and one of the most successful.”
Tags: Andrew Jackson, Ben Bernanke, Central banks, Chairman, Crisis, Fed, Innovator, Janet Yellen, Radical, Skeptics, Success, Thomas Jefferson, U.S.
Institutional Investor (December 17, 2013)
With the introduction of a new single supervisory mechanism, the European Central Bank (ECB) is positioned to play a integral role. “The coronation of the ECB as banking supervisor will make the central bank an even more powerful institution, along the lines of the Fed, which emerged from the crisis as the dominant U.S. financial regulator.”
Tags: Banking, Central bank, Crisis, ECB, eurozone, Fed, Financial regulator, Supervisory mechanism, U.S.
