Forbes (August 22)
Steve Forbes urges India’s new Prime Minister Narendra Modi to first create a “sound and stable currency” through disciplined monetary policy that initially includes a dollar or euro peg. Among his other tips: “Simplify the tax code with a low-rate flat tax” and “Be extremely cautious in attacking subsidies, especially those that benefit the poor, until the economy is in a true boom.”
Tags: Currency, Dollar, Economy, euro, Flat tax, India, Monetary policy, Narendra Modi, Peg, Poor, Steve Forbes, Subsidies, Tax code
Institutional Investor (January 6, 2014)
Monetary expansion continues to be the central-bank fashion in much of the developed world. In contrast, the Central Bank of Russia (CBR), “has surprised the market with a hard-line monetary stance.” Instead of stoking short-term economic growth, CBR Governor Elvira Nabiullna is firmly committed to moderating inflation, and “most analysts credit her tight-money policy as the best option under the circumstances.”Monetary expansion continues to be the central-bank fashion in much of the developed world. In contrast, the Central Bank of Russia (CBR), “has surprised the market with a hard-line monetary stance.” Instead of stoking short-term economic growth, CBR Governor Elvira Nabiullna is firmly committed to moderating inflation, and “most analysts credit her tight-money policy as the best option under the circumstances.”
Tags: Analysts, Central Bank of Russia, Economic growth, Elvira Nabiullna, Inflation, Monetary expansion, Monetary policy, Russia, Tight-money policy
Financial Times (December 10, 2013)
“South Korea was one of the only winners in the summer’s emerging market sell-off, sparked by fears about the outlook for US monetary policy.” In search of a safe haven, foreign buyers poured into South Korea, but now they are pouring out in favor of more promising markets. “Caught between Japan’s fresh Abenomics-fuelled rally and reform-gripped China, South Korea looks in need of a new narrative.”South Korea, Emerging markets, Sell-off, Outlook, U.S., Monetary policy, Safe haven, Foreign buyers, Abenomics, Rally, Reform, China, South Korea
Tags: Abenomics, China, Emerging markets, Foreign buyers, Monetary policy, Outlook, Rally, Reform, Safe haven, Sell-off, South Korea, U.S.
Euromoney (October Issue)
“As investors lament the unsustainable credit boom and reform inertia that has blighted China, India and Indonesia, in particular, in recent years—raising the spectre this summer of a repeat of the 1997 Asia crisis—Singapore has consolidated its status as the region’s competitive dynamo, thanks to a flurry of supply-side reforms, backed by judicious fiscal and monetary policies.” Singapore’s economy is now “the most competitive in the world, according to the World Bank, with the highest income per capita in southeast Asia, outpacing the US in recent years.”“As investors lament the unsustainable credit boom and reform inertia that has blighted China, India and Indonesia, in particular, in recent years—raising the spectre this summer of a repeat of the 1997 Asia crisis—Singapore has consolidated its status as the region’s competitive dynamo, thanks to a flurry of supply-side reforms, backed by judicious fiscal and monetary policies.” Singapore’s economy is now “the most competitive in the world, according to the World Bank, with the highest income per capita in southeast Asia, outpacing the US in recent years.”
Tags: Asia crisis, China, Credit boom, Fiscal policy, India, Indonesia, Investors, Monetary policy, Reform, Singapore, Supply-side reforms
Wall Street Journal (July 21)
“Since taking office in December, Mr. Abe has shown a nearly unprecedented level of resolve on all three fronts [fiscal, monetary, regulatory] compared to recent prime ministers.” In his quest to reignite Japan’s economy, “Mr. Abe still faces a long and difficult road to get from where Japan is now to where he wants it to be. He may yet fail, or only partially succeed, in some of his priorities. But outside observers should not discount the extent to which Mr. Abe is giving voters something tangible to support. Voters certainly didn’t discount that on Sunday when they gave their support to Mr. Abe’s party.”
Tags: Fiscal policy, Japan’s economy, Monetary policy, Prime minister, Regulatory policy, Resolve, Shinzo Abe, Support, Voters
Wall Street Journal (June 11)
Unemployment has been slowly trending down in the U.S. but still remains too high. The Federal Reserve has been doing everything it can to improve the situation, but there are limits to monetary policy. In contrast, “the fiscal cupboard is not bare. There are things we could be doing to boost employment right now. That we are not doing anything constitutes malign neglect of the nation’s worst economic problem.” Instead of complacency, “policy makers should be running around like their hair is on fire…. Congress could make a good start on faster job creation simply by ending what it’s doing—destroying government jobs.”
Euromoney (May Issue)
“The central bank-driven global money-go-round has been turning ever faster since last summer. Now the Bank of Japan has turbo-charged it. So far, investors are enjoying the ride. But a bout of nausea cannot be ruled out.”
Tags: Bank of Japan, Central banks, Expansion, Investors, Monetary policy, Outlook, Risk
Financial Times (April 30, 2013)
In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is coming under fire and a Congressional review has been proposed. While the Fed’s performance has not been perfect, “on the whole, the Fed has not done a bad job. Banks are stronger, the banking system functional and taxpayers increasingly in the money. Neither the UK, the eurozone, nor Japan can boast of the same. That has also made the Fed’s monetary policy much more efficient than in those economies, where the transmission of central bank money-printing to real-economy activity remains broken.”
Tags: Congress, eurozone, Federal Reserve, Japan, Monetary policy, U.S., UK
Chicago Tribune (December 14)
“The Fed helped the nation through a crisis. Now it could be creating risk.” The Fed has indicated it will maintain near-zero interest rates until the unemployment falls below 6.5% or inflation rises above 2.5%. This monetary policy was championed by Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, an inflation dove and policy activist, but the policy is misguided. “At this stage of the recovery, the biggest drags on the employment market have little to do with credit availability and interest rates — factors where the Fed does have influence — and much to do with the failures of elected politicians to fix spending and tax policies…. The central bank just isn’t all-powerful…. The Fed risks becoming a source of the problems it has done so much in recent years to help resolve.”
Tags: Evans, Inflation, Monetary policy, Risk, Spending, Tax, Unemployment
Financial Times (September 21)
Concern is dampening initial celebration over the third quantitative easing (QE3) program, which was announced by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke last week. This monetary program is not a substitute for a proper fiscal solution. QE3 is neither a “free lunch,” nor without risk. Still, “Mr Bernanke has shown commendable bravery in compensating for Congress’s inaction. But his aggressive policy stance will not work forever. US politicians would be foolish not to use wisely the time the Fed has bought them.”
Tags: Bernanke, Congress, Fed, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, QE3, U.S.
