Fortune (July 5)
“In a note on Tuesday” Bank of America “analysts reaffirmed their year-end price target of 7,100 for the broad market index, representing a 5% drop from the week’s closing level.” Citing “extreme levels” of speculation, BoA believes the market is poised for a “snapback,” also noting “that S&P 500 companies are generating less free cash flow relative to net income compared to historical trends. That’s as so-called hyperscalers have seen their free cash flow plunge due to massive spending on the AI boom, eroding their earnings.”
Tags: AI boom, Analysts, BoA, Broad market, Earnings, FCF, Historical trends, Hyperscalers, Index, Net income, Note, Price target, S&P 500, Snapback, Speculation, Spending
Reuters (June 24)
“The AI boom has led to the biggest upswing ever, as demand for memory created a huge bottleneck.” Micron Technologies, now worth $1.3 trillion, has benefited handsomely from this “as the company’s ballooning gross margin shows,” but the rise “is straining tech giants and investor credulity alike.” It won’t last forever. “Boom and bust cycles are built on human greed. It’s very hard to resist the urge to keep boosting production when times are good. Historical patterns suggest the memory shortage will likely end suddenly and hard.”
Tags: AI boom, Ballooning, Boom, Bottleneck, Bust, Credulity, Demand, Gross margin, Human greed, Investor, Memory, Micron, Production, Tech giants, Upswing
MarketWatch (May 30)
“Rising gas prices and inflation are causing a majority of U.S. households to fall behind financially… and the longer the situation goes on, the more stress it will place on the economy.” According to Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY Parthenon, the U.S. expansion is supported by a fragile pillar formed by “Three A’s,” namely “Affluent consumers, AI investment and Asset appreciation.” This pillar “masks an important reality. A huge swath of middle-class and lower-income families with little or no savings in stocks have not benefited much from the bull market or the AI boom.”
Tags: Affluent consumers, AI boom, AI investment, Asset appreciation Savings, Bull market, Daco, Economist, Economy, Expansion, Fragile, Gas prices, Households, Inflation, Pillar, Stocks, Stress, Three A’s, U.S.
OilPrice.com (September 17)
“U.S. power-generating companies are announcing plans for the highest volume of new natural gas-fired capacity in years as the AI boom is driving demand for electricity…. The increase in gas-fired generation jeopardizes the current U.S. emissions and ‘clean grid’ goals.”
Tags: AI boom, Capacity, Clean grid, Demand, Electricity, Emissions, Generation, Highest, Jeopardizes, New. Natural gas-fired, Power-generating, U.S.
