Fortune (January 20)
“Two-thirds of the world’s population already lives in countries where fertility is below” the replacement rate (an average fertility rate of 2.1 children per female). “Some of those economies are on track to see 20%-50% population declines by 2100, requiring big changes to societies and governments.” Younger people will also face a growing burden. “The world’s support ratio was 9.4 in 1997, or more than nine working-age people supporting one older person,” but this is expected to drop to just 3.9 by 2050 and currently stands at 6.5.
Tags: 1997, 2050, 2100, Burden, Children, Economies, Fertility, Governments, Population declines, Replacement rate, Support ratio, Two-thirds, Working-age
New York Times (January 19)
“America’s leaders and institutions must remain undeterred. They will need to show courage and resilience in the face of Mr. Trump’s efforts as they continue to play their unique roles in our democracy. Vigilance is everything: If institutions surrender to the fear and coercion — by bending the knee or by rationalizing that the next right actions aren’t worth the fight, stress or risk — they not only embolden future abuses; they are also complicit in undermining their own power and influence.”
Tags: Abuses, Coercion, Complicit, Courage, Democracy, Efforts, Fear, Institutions, Leaders, Power and influence, Resilience, Surrender, Trump, U.S., Undermining, Vigilance
Reuters (January 18)
The anticipated “mega-merger boom threatens a shareholder bloodbath.” As global conditions improve and central banks cut borrowing costs, mega-deals are expected to proliferate. An expected lighter regulatory touch will provide extra momentum. Based on past results, however, “when acquisitions reach $10 billion or more… the worst fears of shareholders are often confirmed.” Large acquirers generally end up trailing industry peers by 5% in median annualized total return.
Tags: Acquirer, Acquisitions, Bloodbath, Boom, Borrowing costs, Central banks, Expected, Fears, Lagging, Mega-merger, Momentum, Regulatory, Shareholder
Wired (January 16)
The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is suing John Deere and this could mark “a tipping point for right-to-repair.” Deere has prevented farmers and third-party mechanics from making repairs by placing “limitations on its operational software, meaning certain features and calibrations on its tractors can only be unlocked by mechanics who have the right digital key.” Following “years of complaints” about these policies, repairability advocates see the FTC’s suit as “a milestone for consumer rights.”
Tags: Calibrations, Complaints, Consumer rights, Digital key, Farmers, FTC, John Deere, Limitations, Mechanics, Operational software, Repairability, Tipping point, Tractors
Jalopnik (January 15)
“American automakers have long feared Chinese competition, worrying that cheaper cars built just as well would knock the floor out of a profitable industry. Now, regulators have found a way to protect American brands by outright banning Chinese cars — or automotive hardware or software — used for communications or autonomous driving.”
Tags: Automakers, Autonomous driving, Banning, Brands, Cars, Cheaper, China, Communications, Competition, Hardware, Profitable, Protect, Regulators, Software, U.S.
Financial Times (January 14)
“It’s the dawn of a new era of conservatism in corporate America, as executives embrace Trump and the new Republican Washington.” The president-elect “has a history of making personal attacks on companies and executives he doesn’t like.” Amid the rush to get into Trump’s good graces, “companies are reshaping how they interact with society…. It’s a mirror image of the surge in support for social justice causes after a police officer killed George Floyd in 2020.”
Tags: Conservatism, Corporate America, Era, Executives, George Floyd, Personal attacks, Republican, Reshaping, Social justice, Society, Trump
Foreign Affairs (January 14)
“America’s China strategy is incomplete.” Success will require “a full suite of economic incentives, public-private partnerships, and investment and trade deals to reduce the United States’ and its partners’ reliance on China.” The good news is that U.S. partners are “concerned about Chinese influence themselves” and “eager to work with Washington.” This means Trump’s second term could potentially “supercharge the global shift away from dependence on Chinese supply, bolstering the U.S. economy and enhancing U.S. national security” if he can effectively leverage “economic tools beyond tariffs.”
Tags: China, Eager, Economic incentives, Global shift, Influence, Investment, National security, Public-private partnerships, Reliance, Strategy, Tariffs, Trade deals, U.S.
Market Watch (January 13)
“Last week, a batch of blockbuster U.S. economic data prompted traders to consider the possibility that the Federal Reserve may need to pause interest-rate cuts until summer. As a result, stocks got crushed, with the S&P 500 erasing most of its postelection gains and the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting its worst start to a year since 2016.”
Tags: 2016, Blockbuster, Crushed, Dow Jones, Economic data, Fed, Gains, Interest rate cuts, Postelection, S&P 500, Stocks, Summer, Traders, U.S.
Financial Times (January 10)
“BlackRock has become the latest financial firm to bail out of a big climate change industry group in the wake of Donald Trump’s election as US president and heightened regulatory scrutiny. The world’s largest money manager told institutional clients in a letter on Thursday that it had quit Net Zero Asset Managers,” which seeks “the goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or sooner.”
Tags: 2050, BlackRock, Climate change, Election, Financial firm, GHG emissions, Money manager, Net Zero Asset Managers, Regulatory scrutiny, Trump, U.S.
Wall Street Journal (January 10)
“Excess capacity among carmakers in China is driving the world’s largest auto market into a shakeout phase.” According to one estimate, domestic carmakers are using just half of their capacity. “Among the early losers are foreign brands. General Motors, Volkswagen and Toyota have been bleeding market share to homegrown rivals.” That said, it seems evident that as the shakeout phase continues, “local brands face a reckoning too.”
Tags: Auto market, Bleeding, Capacity, Carmakers, China, Domestic, Excess capacity, GM, Market share, Reckoning, Rivals, Shakeout phase, Toyota, Volkswagen
