New York Times (May 29)
Companies initially “welcomed a court decision striking down President Trump’s tariffs. Then a stay of that ruling left no one breathing easy.” Uncertainty, with a splash of potential relief, now prevails as U.S. businesses struggle to digest “the latest twist in Mr. Trump’s roller-coaster trade war, which has made it impossible to plan more than a few weeks in advance. It’s particularly hard on industries that place their orders entire seasons ahead of time.”
Tags: Businesses, Companies, Court decision, Impossible, Industries, Orders, Relief, Roller coaster, Ruling, Stay, Striking down, Struggle, Trade war, Trump’s tariffs, U.S.
Fortune (May 24)
“Predictions that the dollar’s dominance will come to an end soon have proliferated since President Donald Trump launched his trade war,” but it’s not so simple. “Assets in other top economies like China, Japan and Europe still aren’t as attractive as those in the U.S.” while potential rivals also “suffer from governance or political headwinds.” Until another currency surmounts these issues, “global investors are faced with the familiar reality that there is still no alternative to the greenback, which has been the currency of choice for international payments and reserves for decades.”
Tags: Alternative, Assets, Attractive, China, Dollar, Dominance, Europe, Governance, Greenback, Headwinds, International payments, Investors, Japan, Political, Predictions, Rivals, Top economies, Trade war, Trump, U.S.
South China Morning Post (May 19)
“China’s economy mostly remained resilient in April, despite feeling the effects of the astronomical tariffs in place before last week, when Washington and Beijing agreed to remove or pause most of the duties imposed as part of their tempestuous trade war.” Though consumption softened, manufacturing fared better than expected. “China’s industrial output rose 6.1 per cent, beating estimates, while domestic consumption up 5.1 per cent–slightly below expectations.”
Tags: Agreed, April, Beijing, China, Consumption, Duties, Economy, Estimates, Industrial output, Manufacturing, Resilient, Tariffs, Trade war, Washington
Washington Post (May 19)
“Markets came under pressure Monday morning as investors dumped stocks, U.S. bonds and the dollar in early trading after the United States lost its triple-A bond rating, signaling new worries about the outlook for the world’s largest economy amid President Donald Trump’s trade war and heightened federal deficits.”
Tags: Bonds, Dollar, Dumped, Economy, Investors, Markets, Outlook, Pressure, Rating, Stocks, Trade war, Trading, Triple-A, Trump, U.S., Worries
Market Watch (May 17)
“President Donald Trump’s move to defuse an ugly trade war with China not only sparked a massive stock-market rally but also drove down the chances of a recession — for now.” Though it’s a welcome sign of relief, numerous obstacles remain. Nobody can rest assured. “Ongoing trade wars have not gone away, for one thing. Trump could change his mind or the U.S. could fail to strike more economic-friendly deals with China, after that 90-day pause, and other countries.” Moreover, the uncertainty has “made households and business hesitant to spend, hire and invest. Confidence has plunged in the past few months, and anxiety is unlikely to fade quickly.” U.S. growth remains likely “to taper off sharply this year.”
Tags: 90-day pause, China, Confidence, Deals, Defuse, Hire, Households, Invest, Obstacles, Recession, Relief, Spend, Stock-market rally, Trade war, Trump, U.S., Ugly, Uncertainty
CNN (May 1)
“Another day, another piece of evidence that President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war with friends and foes is hurting the global economy. Today: Japan’s central bank cut its economic growth forecast for the country in half.” The Bank of Japan “lowered its expectations for 2025 gross domestic product growth to an anemic 0.5%, down from the previous projection of +1.1%, made in January.”
Tags: 0.5%, 2025, Anemic, BOJ, Economic growth, Escalating, Evidence, Expectations, Foes, Forecast, Friends, GDP, Global economy, Hurting, Japan, Trade war, Trump
New York Times (April 21)
“President Trump’s trade war has completely upended investment flows, with global investors selling off U.S. stocks and corporate and government bonds at a clip unlike anything Wall Street has seen in recent years.” Though some semblance of “calm returned to the corporate and government bond markets late last week,” analysts are still wary of “Trump’s next moves, fearing that his protectionist policies and threats against federal institutions could re-accelerate money flows out of the United States, hitting the dollar especially hard.”
Tags: Analysts, Bonds, Calm, Corporate, Global investors, Institutions, Investment flows, Markets, Money flows, Protectionist, Stocks, Threats, Trade war, Treasuries, Trump, U.S., Upended, Wall Street
Fortune (April 14)
“President Donald Trump’s trade war with China could lead to the end of globalization. But it’s not a certainty that the U.S. will emerge as the victor in the new economic world order.” Goldman Sachs posits “the U.S. may find it’s more reliant on China than the other way around.” Chinese imports account for 14% of total U.S. imports. Meanwhile, U.S. exports to China make up only 6% of total Chinese imports. The U.S. is also highly dependent on $158 billion worth of Chinese imports, whereas China’s relies highly on the U.S. for only $14 billion worth of goods. In these cases, the highly dependent import goods account for 70% or more of the market.
Tags: $14 billion, $158 billion, China, Dependent, Economic, Globalization, Goldman Sachs, Goods, Imports, Market, Trade war, Trump, U.S., Victor, World order
Washington Post (April 9)
“Trump grabbed a life preserver. In announcing a 90-day pause on most tariffs… he acknowledged, however reluctantly, the harsh realities of economics, foreign policy and domestic politics.” While the pause is “indeed worth rejoicing,” it is only a partial pause as the trade war continues with China. “Investors, business and consumers will still be living with uncertainty. For the long term, Trump and his team are well advised to come up with a less volatile economic strategy.”
Tags: Business, China, Consumers, Economic strategy, Economics, Foreign policy, Investors, Lfe preserver, Partial, Pause, Politics, Realities, Tariffs, Trade war, Trump, Uncertainty, Volatile
Investment Week (April 1)
“Some of the world’s largest investment banks and a major credit ratings agency have upped their expectations of a recession in the US and globally as trade war woes loom large.” U.S. President Donald Trump “is expected to unveil sweeping tariffs on major trading partners on Wednesday.”
Tags: Credit ratings agency, Expectations, Globally, Investment banks, Loom, Major, Recession, Sweeping, Trade war, Trading partners, Trump, U.S., Woes, World
