Los Angeles Times (May 4)
“Inflation surged to 3.5% in March — the highest level in nearly three years — as gas prices climbed above $4.40 due to Middle East tensions, yet consumers barely flinched. The U.S. economy expanded at a 2% annual rate in the first quarter while unemployment claims hit a 50-year low, signaling unexpected resilience despite inflation pressures.”
Tags: Consumers, Economy, Expanded, Gas prices, Inflation, March, Middle East, Q1, Surged, Tensions, U.S., Unemployment claims, Unexpected
Wall Street Journal (May 1)
In a “a potent symbol of the gathering fiscal stresses” facing America, “U.S. national debt now exceeds 100% of gross domestic product, crossing a once-unthinkable threshold, on the way toward breaking the record set in the wake of World War II.” On March 31, federal debt stood at $31.265 trillion and GDP for the year therein ended was $31.216 trillion.
Tags: 100, Debt, Fiscal stresses, GDP, Potent symbol, Record, Threshold, U.S., Unthinkable, WWII
New York Times (April 29)
“Trump appears to be miscalculating yet again, believing that his blockade and economic pressure on Iran will succeed where his bombings failed…. Two months into the war, Iran and the United States each seems to feel it is in the stronger position. Faced with the prospect of making concessions to the other side, each may prefer to delay or escalate, with the world economy held hostage.”
Tags: Blockade, Bombings, Concessions, Delay, Economic pressure, Escalate, Failed, Iran, Miscalculating, Stronger, Succeed, Trump, U.S., War, World economy
Fortune (April 27)
“The Iran conflict has confirmed a transformation in the economics of warfare toward cheap, mass-produced weapons, forcing a wholesale rethinking of military procurement.” Iran’s strategy “is the opposite of the West’s model of precision lethality.” It deliberately embraces mass losses because “even the most advanced defenses can be overwhelmed with sufficient volume” and “cost asymmetry” places tremendous burden on the enemy. In this case, “cost asymmetry is worsened by severe production and supply-chain constraints.” The U.S. has burned through 50% of its THAAD interceptors, with the next delivery of THAAD interceptors not expected until April 2027.
Tags: Cheap, Conflict, Cost asymmetry, Economics, Iran, Mass losses, Mass-produced, Military procurement, Precision lethality, Production, Rethinking, Supply-chain constraints, THAAD interceptors, Transformation, U.S., Volume, Warfare, Weapons
The Times (April 26)
“Few would envy the King his task when he begins his state visit to the United States on Monday.” Given the circumstances, his Mother would likely have cancelled the trip. We should “praise him for taking on a challenge that many would prefer to duck.” Hopefully, the visit will prove “an opportunity to prevent a temporary rupture in the special relationship from becoming permanent estrangement” and that “King Charles can be a bridge over troubled water for US and UK.”
Tags: Bridge, Cancelled, Challenge, Estrangement, King Charles, Opportunity, Permanent, Prevent, Rupture, Special relationship, State visit, Task, U.S., Visit
The Economist (April 25 Issue)
“Xi Jinping wants a powerful currency. America’s war has helped.” Usage of the yuan is expanding, but the currency remains far from the status of a global reserve currency. “Last month China’s currency accounted for over 8% of global trade finance, according to SWIFT, second (but a distant second) to the dollar, on over 80%.” Nevertheless, the yuan is becoming “a source of comfort for countries and firms disconcerted by America’s haphazard stewardship of the truly powerful dollar.”
Tags: 80, China, Comfort, Countries, Disconcerted, Finance, Firms, Global reserve, Global trade, Haphazard, Powerful currency, Stewardship, Swift, U.S., Xi, Yuan
South China Morning Post (April 20)
A “Hormuz moment” might signal the “decline of US dominance.” Citic Securities analysts are comparing the unfolding situation in Iran to the “Suez moment,” when Great Britain “lost control of the Suez Canal along with its global superpower status.” On Saturday, the analysts wrote “that a similarly consequential ‘Hormuz moment’ could be a watershed for America’s global supremacy.” In fact, Citic posits “the global order may have already undergone subtle but significant changes.”
Tags: Analysts, Citic Securities, Consequential, Control, Decline, Dominance, Hormuz moment, Iran, Suez Canal, Superpower status, Supremacy, U.S., UK, Unfolding, Watershed
Barron’s (April 20)
“Stock investors might be fretting over the final stages of peace talks between Washington and Tehran but they aren’t prepared to relinquish the hard-won gains of the past three weeks nor the record highs reached in U.S. equity markets over the past few days…. The on-again, off-again nature of peace talks slated for this week in Pakistan were testing investors again Monday, but the broader market reaction suggests investors remain optimistic on a near-term conclusion to the conflict.”
Tags: Conclusion, Conflict, Equity markets, Final stages, Fretting, Hard-won gains, Market reaction, Near term, Optimistic, Pakistan, Peace talks, Record highs, Relinquish, Stocks, Tehran, U.S., Washington
Financial Times (April 16)
“Iran is America’s Suez crisis — and just as ridiculous. The parallels with Britain’s disastrous Middle East adventure in the 1950s are impossible to resist.”
Tags: 1950s, Adventure, Disastrous, Iran, Middle East, Parallels, Ridiculous, Suez crisis, U.S., UK
New York Times (April 12)
Make no mistake “Trump’s war is weakening America,” but nobody should “root for this country to fail. We all have a stake in the nation that he leads. So does the rest of the free world. There are no other democracies with the economic and military strength to counter China and Russia. When America is weaker and poorer, as this war has made us, authoritarianism benefits.”
Tags: China, Democracies, Economic, Fail, Free world, Military, Mistake, Poorer, Russia, Stake, Strength, Trump, U.S., War, Weakening
