Fortune (April 7)
The petrodollar “makes up the cornerstone of America’s dominance over global trade, but economists warn the currency architecture has been eroding at its edges for years now.” Indeed, the current era may bring “the biggest change in the world’s relationship to the dollar since 1974, and every day the Iran war continues, the cracks in the old system grow wider and wider. To be sure, the dollar is still overwhelmingly dominant, but it’s no longer the only game in town.”
Tags: 1974, Cornerstone, Cracks, Currency architecture, Dominance, Economists, Eroding, Global trade, Iran war, Old system, Petrodollar
Barron’s (April 5)
The global economy is in for a “crude awakening.” Even under the best (or least worst) scenario, the Iran “war will shave about a percentage point off global economic growth, taking it down to 2% this year. Growth forecasts for large, developed economies—Japan, France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom—were modest before the war at around 1%. If the conflict extends past June, GDP growth for these countries could evaporate, while inflation keeps rising.”
Tags: 2%, Conflict, Crude awakening, Developed economies, Economic growth, Forecasts, France, GDP, Germany, Global economy, Inflation, Iran war, Italy, Japan, Scenario, UK
The Economist (March 22)
“Even the best-case scenario for energy markets is disastrous. Whatever happens, high prices will outlive the Iran war.”
Tags: Best case, Disastrous, Energy markets, High prices, Iran war, Outlive, Scenario
The Guardian (March 17)
“Britons taking out a new home loan face paying almost £800 a year more on average than before the Iran war as “Trumpflation” pushes up UK mortgage rates.” Higher rates come at a bad time, as “1.8m fixed-rate deals are due to end in 2026, and most of these borrowers will need to get a new mortgage. The change of direction comes amid the global shock waves caused by the war.”
Tags: £800, Borrowers, Britons, Fixed-rate deals, Global, Home loan, Iran war, Mortgage rates, Shock waves, Trumpflation, UK, War
